Greeks Tectonics
37 Greeks, 22 ratios across 5 analytical tiers for Bitcoin. Observe how higher-order derivative relationships behave across the options surface.
Standard Charm and Vanna compute today's forced dealer flows assuming static positioning. But positions migrate: market makers roll, institutions rotate, retail opens new strikes. The classical model cannot predict where new OI will concentrate.
Surface Charm (∂²V/∂K∂t) measures how the option value gradient across strikes changes with time. High Surface Charm at a strike means the value gradient across strikes is shifting with time to make that strike relatively more attractive for new positioning, i.e. flow migrates toward it i Surface Vanna (∂²V/∂K∂σ) measures how the option value gradient across strikes shifts when implied volatility changes. High Surface Vanna at a strike means a vol shock makes that strike disproportionately attractive for new positioning, i.e. it predicts where capital flows after an IV event i Droplet (∂³V/∂K∂σ∂t) measures how durable the Surface Vanna signal is at each strike. Negative Droplet means the vol-migration attractiveness is transient and fading with time. Positive Droplet means it is strengthening. The model applies a time-proportional correction: longer scenario windows receive larger Droplet adjustments, preventing the simulator from overstating migration at strikes where the signal has decayed by the time the scenario plays out i
The α and β coefficients let you weight this structural prediction. At zero, the model is pure classical Charm/Vanna. At 1.0, migration carries equal weight to forced flows. The correct value is empirical and varies by market regime. Use the sliders to build intuition for when the surface terms dominate.